Going out on a limb here but I'm thinking Kerry wins--and does so with a few electoral votes to spare. Bush's re-elect numbers are still mostly south of 50--a majority of people have already decided to fire the Liar in Chief. True, people have doubts about Kerry--doubts seeded by an effective framing campaign by the Republlicans (let's face it, they are alot better at defining someone).

Sometime this week, I'll post my electoral guesses prior to the election--and be ready to be publicly taken to task if I'm off.